NIPFP-DEA Research Program:
Meetings

6th Research Meeting, 9-10 March, 2010

Amaltas Conference Room
India Habitat Centre
Lodhi Road
New Delhi.
The entry is from the IHC Gate number 3.

9 March 2010

9:00 - 9:30 Coffee with Snacks
9:30 - 10:00 Inaugural Session
    C. Rangarajan, Chairman, NIPFP
Chairman, Kaushik Basu, DEA
10:00 - 10:50      Capital inflows: The role of controls, [paper] [slideshow]
     Atish Ghosh, IMF
         Discussant: Giovanni Veronese, Bank of Italy

10:50 - 11:40      Domestic investment by firms who expand overseas, [paper]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: Aradhna Aggarwal, University of Delhi

11:40 - 12:00 Coffee
12:00 - 12:45      Productivity and outbound FDI in software services: A reversal of the HMY model, [paper] [slideshow]
     Rudrani Bhattacharya, NIPFP
         Discussant: Vani Archana,

12:45 - 13:30      Monetary regime switches in India: Policy or structure?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Nirvikar Singh, University of California, Santa Cruz
         Discussant: Ila Patnaik, NIPFP [slideshow]

13:30 - 14:15 Lunch
Chairman, Suman Bery, NCAER
14:15 - 15:00      The global financial crisis: Explaining cross-country differences in the output impact, [paper] [slideshow]
     James P. Walsh, IMF
         Discussant: Abhijit Sen Gupta, JNU

15:00 - 15:45      What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks in India?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Roberto Guimaraes, IMF
         Discussant: M. Govinda Rao, NIPFP

15:45 - 16:00 Coffee
16:00 - 18:00 Practitioner Session
Chairman, C. B. Bhave, SEBI

     Algorithmic trading in the crisis,
     Gangadhar Darbha, Royal Bank of Scotland

     EM-DM differentiation in the post Lehman era,
     Hari Hariharan, New World Investments

     Private equity and venture capital in India: What comes next?, [slideshow]
     Sudhir Sethi, IDG Ventures India Advisors

19:30 - 21:00 Dinner, at the 'Maple Room' at India Habitat Centre

10 March 2010

9:00 - 9:30 Coffee with Snacks
Chairman, Subir Gokarn, RBI
9:30 - 10:20      Bank involvement with SMEs: Beyond relationship lending, [paper] [slideshow]
     Sergio Schmukler, World Bank
         Discussant: Ajay Shah, NIPFP

10:20 - 11:00      Inclusive, balanced, sustained growth in the Asia-Pacific, [paper] [slideshow]
     Wendy Dobson, University of Toronto
         Discussant: Ulrich Bartsch, World Bank

11:00 - 11:15 Coffee
11:15 - 12:05      Securities markets and foreign investors in the aftermath of a corporate scandal: Evidence from the Satyam episode, [paper]
     Ajay Shah, NIPFP
         Discussant: Sergio Schmukler, World Bank

12:05 - 12:50      Reforming China’s monetary policy framework, [paper]
     Richard Herd, OECD
         Discussant: Vivek Moorthy, IIMB

12:50 - 13:35 Lunch
Chairman, R. Gopalan, DFS
13:35 - 14:15      Dollar debt of firms and dollar reserves of central bank: A case of moral hazard?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Rajeswari Sengupta, University of California, Santa Cruz
         Discussant: Roberto Guimaraes, IMF

14:15 - 15:05      A new global database on the de facto exchange rate regime, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: Atish Ghosh, IMF

15:05 - 15:45      Estimation of value at risk for the Indian capital market: Filtered historical simulation approach using GARCH model with suitable mean specification, [paper] [slideshow]
     Indrajit Roy, RBI

15:45 - 16:00 Coffee
16:00 - 18:00 Policymakers Roundtable
Chairman, Ashok Chawla, DEA

     Unwinding fiscal and monetary stimuli,
     Jahangir Aziz, J P Morgan

     Current thinking in the Ministry of Finance on financial reforms,
     K. P. Krishnan, DEA
19:30 - 21:00 Dinner, at the 'Maple Room' at India Habitat Centre


5th Research Meeting, 16-17 September, 2009

Magnolia Conference Room
India Habitat Centre
Lodhi Road
New Delhi
The entry is from the IHC Gate number 3

16 September 2009

9:00 - 9:30 Coffee with Snacks
9:30 - 10:15 Inaugural Session
    C. Rangarajan, Chairman, NIPFP
    Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission
Chairman, Arvind Virmani, DEA
10:15 - 11:00      Cross-Border Capital Flows and the Financial Crisis, [slideshow]
     Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, IMF
         Discussant: Michael M. Hutchison, University of California, Santa Cruz [slideshow]

11:00 - 11:45      Asset Fire Sales and Purchases and the International Transmission of Funding Shocks, [paper] [slideshow]
     Tarun Ramadorai, Oxford University
         Discussant: Viral Acharya, Stern School of Business, New York University [slideshow]

11:45 - 12:30      Technology adoption and production organisation in India, [paper] [slideshow]
     Sourafel Girma, Nottingham University Business School
         Discussant: Rudrani Bhattacharya, NIPFP [slideshow]

12:30 - 13:05 Lunch
Chairman, Shankar Acharya, ICRIER
13:05 - 13:55      Have China and India decoupled?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Jarko Fidrmuc, Munich Graduate School of Economics
         Discussant: Radhika Pandey, NIPFP [slideshow]

13:55 - 14:40      Multinationals and the effectiveness of capital controls, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ajay Shah, NIPFP
         Discussant: Sanjaya Panth, IMF [slideshow]

14:40 - 15:25      Central bank preventing appreciation vs. preventing depreciation, [paper] [slideshow]
     Matthieu Stigler, Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Switzerland
         Discussant: Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, IMF [slideshow]

15:25 - 15:40 Coffee
Chairman, Roberto Zagha, World Bank
15:40 - 16:30      The costs and benefits of informalisation in a two-sector new Keynesian model, [paper] [slideshow]
     Paul Levine, University of Surrey
         Discussant: Annabelle Mourougane, OECD [slideshow]

16:30 - 17:20      Crisis vulnerability of Indian corporations, [slideshow]
     Hiroko Oura, IMF
         Discussant: V Ravi Anshuman, IIM, Bangalore [slideshow]

17:20 - 18:00      Outbound FDI by Indian software firms, [paper] [slideshow]
     Rudrani Bhattacharya, NIPFP
         Discussant: Sourafel Girma, Nottingham University Business School [slideshow]

19:30 - 21:00 Dinner, at the 'Maple Room' at India Habitat Centre

17 September 2009

9:00 - 9:30 Coffee with Snacks
Chairman, Sanjaya Panth, IMF
9:30 - 10:20      Transmission of the subprime crisis to emerging markets, [paper] [slideshow]
     Michael M. Hutchison, University of California, Santa Cruz
         Discussant: Hiroko Oura, IMF [slideshow]

10:20 - 11:10      The long and short of emerging market debt, [paper] [slideshow]
     Sergio Schmukler, World Bank
         Discussant: Raimundo Soto, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile [slideshow]

Chairman,
11:10 - 11:55      The effects of fiscal policy on output and debt sustainability, [paper] [slideshow]
     Annabelle Mourougane, OECD
         Discussant: Paul Levine, University of Surrey [slideshow]

11:55 - 12:40      Tracking Indian Growth in Real Time, [slideshow]
     Giovanni Veronese, Bank of Italy
         Discussant: Sudipto Mundle, NIPFP

12:40 - 13:20 Lunch
Chairman, Sudipto Mundle, NIPFP
13:20 - 14:10      What has happened with exchange rate regimes in Asia?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: Sergio Schmukler, World Bank [slideshow]

14:10 - 15:00      The impact of capital inflows on asset prices in emerging Asia, [paper] [slideshow]
     Soyoung Kim, Seoul National University
         Discussant: Sajjid Chinoy [slideshow]

15:00 - 15:20 Coffee
15:20 - 18:00 New Thinking on Policy
Chairman, Vijay Kelkar, Thirteenth Finance Commission
15:20 - 15:40      Lessons for emerging markets from the crisis, [paper] [slideshow]
     Pankaj Kumar & Binod Bhoi, RBI
15:40 - 16:00      Financial stability thinking in emerging markets, [paper] [slideshow]
     Michael Pomerleano, Bank of Israel
16:00 - 16:20      A good immune system for facing macroeconomic shocks: experiences from Latin America, [slideshow]
     Raimundo Soto, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
16:20 - 16:40      Policy issues with derivatives in India, [slideshow]
     Viral Acharya, Stern School of Business, New York University
16:40 - 17:00      Discussion,
     Jayanth R. Varma, IIM, Ahmedabad
17:00 - 17:20      Discussion,
     K. P. Krishnan, DEA
17:20 - 18:00      Floor Discussion
19:30 - 21:00 Dinner, at the 'Willow Room' at India Habitat Centre


4th Research Meeting, 24-25 March, 2009

Amaltas Conference Room
India Habitat Centre
Lodhi Road
New Delhi.
The entry is from the IHC Gate number 3.

24 March 2009

9:00 AM Coffee with Snacks
9:30 - 10:30 Chairman: Isher J. Ahluwalia, ICRIER

     Rebalancing growth in Asia, [paper] [slideshow]
     Eswar Prasad, Cornell University
     Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Planning Commission
10:30 - 10:50 Coffee
10:50 - 13:30 Chairman: Isher J. Ahluwalia, ICRIER

     Unexploited gains from international diversification, [paper] [slideshow]
     Sergio Schmukler, World Bank
         Discussant: Tarun Ramadorai, University of Oxford [slideshow]

     Implications of the choice of exchange rate regime, [paper] [slideshow]
     Atish Ghosh, IMF
         Discussant: Russell A. Green, U.S. Treasury Deptt. [slideshow]

     Corporate choice for overseas borrowings: The Indian Evidence, [paper] [slideshow]
     Bhupal Singh, RBI
         Discussant: P. V. Viswanath, Pace University [slideshow]

13:30 - 14:30 Lunch
14:30 - 15:30      Eurocoin: Tracking growth in realtime, [paper] [slideshow]
     Giovanni Veronese, Bank of Italy
         Discussant: Sanjaya Panth, IMF [slideshow]

15:30 - 16:00 Coffee
16:00 - 18:00 Tales from the trenches: What practitioners see
Chairman: Ashok Chawla, DEA

     The currency futures market, [slideshow]
     Ravi Narain, National Stock Exchange

     The outlook for private equity flows and FDI, [slideshow]
     Vishal Nevatia, India Value Fund Associates

     The environment for borrowing abroad by Indian companies, [slideshow]
     Rajeev Ahuja, Citibank

     The environment for borrowing abroad by Indian companies, [slideshow]
     K. Venkataraman, State Bank of India

19:30 - 21:00 Dinner, at the `Maple Room' at India Habitat Centre

25 March 2009

8:30 AM Coffee with Snacks
9:00 - 10:40 Chairman: Shekhar Shah, World Bank

     Determinants of aggregate and bilateral trade flows and firms' decision to export, [paper] [slideshow]
     T. N. Srinivasan, Yale University
         Discussant: Sushanta Mallick, Queen Mary, University of London [slideshow]

     Graduating to globalisation: A study of Southern multinationals, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: T. N. Srinivasan, Yale University [slideshow]

10:40 - 11:10 Coffee
11:10 - 12:00      Export intensity and financial policies of Indian firms, [paper] [slideshow]
     P. V. Viswanath, Pace University
         Discussant: Anmol Sethy, NIPFP [slideshow]

12:00 - 12:50      Pricing to market in India's exports: The role of market heterogeneity and product differentiation, [paper] [slideshow]
     Sushanta Mallick, Queen Mary, University of London
         Discussant: Rudrani Bhattacharya, NIPFP [slideshow]

12:50-13:50 Lunch
13:50 - 14:40      Exploring the pricing of Indian ADRs, [slideshow]
     Ajay Shah / Matthieu Stigler, NIPFP
         Discussant: Sergio Schmukler, World Bank

14:40 - 15:10 Coffee
15:10 - 16:00 Chairman: Arvind Virmani, DEA

     India's business cycle synchronisation, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: Giovanni Veronese, Bank of Italy [slideshow]

16:00 - 16:30 Coffee
16:30 - 18:30 Policy Roundtable
Chairman: Vijay Kelkar, Thirteenth Finance Commission

     Emerging markets in the global crisis, [slideshow]
     Sergio Schmukler, World Bank

     India in the global crisis, [slideshow]
     Ajay Shah, NIPFP

     Structural reform in the OECD in a time of crisis,
     Sean Dougherty, OECD
19:30 - 21:00 Dinner, at the `Maple Room' at India Habitat Centre



3rd Research meeting, 30 Sep and 1 Oct, 2008

Amaltas Conference Room
India Habitat Centre
Lodhi Road
New Delhi.
The entry is from the IHC Gate number 3.

30 September 2008

8:30 - 9:00 Coffee
9:00 - 10:00 Inaugural
    C. Rangarajan, Chairman, NIPFP
    Ashok Chawla, Secretary, DEA
    C. B. Bhave, Chairman, Securities and Exchanges Board of India
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee
10:30 - 12:45 Macroeconomics
Chairman: Arvind Virmani, DEA

     Inflation targeting and real exchange rates in emerging markets, [paper] [slideshow]
     Michael Hutchison, UC Santa Cruz
         Discussant: Vincent Koen, OECD [slideshow]

     East Asian experiences with capital flows, [paper] [slideshow]
     Masahiro Kawai, ADB Institute
         Discussant: Jahangir Aziz, DEA [slideshow]

     Financial exchange rates and international currency exposures, [paper] [slideshow]
     Philip Lane, Trinity College, Dublin
         Discussant: Michael Hutchison, UC Santa Cruz [slideshow]

12:45-13:45 Lunch
14:00 - 15:30 International economics
Chairman: K. P. Krishnan, DEA

     Does openness to international financial flows contribute to productivity growth?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Eswar Prasad, Cornell University, Brookings Institution and NBER
         Discussant: Sourafel Girma, Nottingham Business School [slideshow]

     Fuller capital account opening in China and India: Mind the gap, [paper] [slideshow]
     Robert McCauley, BIS
         Discussant: Masahiro Kawai, ADB Institute

15:30 - 16:00 Coffee
16:00 - 18:15 International finance
Chairman: TBA

     Trade misinvoicing: A channel for de facto capital account openness, [paper] [slideshow]
     Abhijit Sen Gupta, ICRIER
         Discussant: Eswar Prasad, Cornell University, Brookings Institution and NBER

     The value of control in emerging markets, [paper] [slideshow]
     Anusha Chari, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
         Discussant: Ajay Shah, NIPFP [slideshow]

     Patterns of international capital raisings, [paper] [slideshow]
     Sergio Schmukler, World Bank.
         Discussant: Nirvikar Singh, UC Santa Cruz

7:30 - 9:00 Dinner, at the `Maple Room' at India Habitat Centre

1 October 2008

8:30 - 9:00 Coffee
9:00 - 11:30 India - I
Chairman: Shekhar Shah, World Bank

     Domestic investment by firms who expand overseas, [slideshow]
     Sourafel Girma, Nottingham Business School
         Discussant: Anusha Chari, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill

     Indian capital control liberalisation: Estimates from NDF market, [paper] [slideshow]
     Nirvikar Singh, UC Santa Cruz
         Discussant: Ajay Shah and Matthieu Stigler, NIPFP [slideshow]

     Investment choices by foreign and domestic institutional investors, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: Robert McCauley, BIS [slideshow]

11:30 - 12:00 Coffee
12:00 - 13:00 India - II
Chairman: Jahangir Aziz, DEA

     Indian Rupee Market Intervention: Managing Volatility or Inducing Additional Capital Inflows?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Hiroko Oura, IMF
         Discussant: Ila Patnaik, NIPFP [slideshow]

13:00 - 14:00 Lunch
14:00 - 15:30 India - III
Chairman: Suman Bery, NCAER

     Movement of trade balance and exchange rate sensitivity of industry trade flows, [paper] [slideshow]
     Rajarshi Mitra, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee
         Discussant: S. Madhur, ADB

     One way bets on pegged exchange rates, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ajay Shah, NIPFP
         Discussant: Sergio Schmukler, World Bank [slideshow]

15:30 - 16:00 Coffee
16:00 - 18:30 Practitioner session
Chairman: Sindushree Khullar, DEA

     Legal contradictions of the FII framework, [slideshow]
     Somasekhar Sundaresan, J. Sagar Associates

     The global market for Indian equities, [slideshow]
     Gautam Chand, Instanex

     The global market for derivatives on Indian underlyings,
     Sayee Srinivasan, Chicago Mercantile Exchange
7:30 - 9:00 Dinner, at the `Maple Room' at India Habitat Centre



2nd Research meeting, 27-28 March 2008

Maple Room
India Habitat Centre
Lodhi Road
New Delhi.
The entry is from the IHC Gate number 3.

Photographs from the meeting. If you click on any of the images, you get the fullres underlying file.

27 March 2008

9:00 - 9:20 Coffee and snacks
9:20 - 9:30 Welcome
9:30 - 12:30 Session on "Capital controls"
Chairman: Arvind Virmani, Ministry of Finance

     Capital controls and international financial integration, [paper] [slideshow]
     Sergio Schmukler, World Bank
         Discussant: Ajay Shah, NIPFP [slideshow]

     Do capital controls foster exchange rate stability?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Michael Hutchison, UC Santa Cruz
         Discussant: Atish Ghosh, IMF

     Policy responses to capital flows, [paper] [slideshow]
     Juan Fernando Zalduendo, IMF
         Discussant: Abhijit Sen Gupta, ICRIER [slideshow]

12:30-13:30 Lunch
13:30 - 15:30 Session on "India's capital controls"
Chairman: Subir Gokarn, Standard and Poors

     One way bets on pegged exchange rates, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: Michael Hutchison, UC Santa Cruz [slideshow]

     India's capital controls,
     Nirvikar Singh, UC Santa Cruz [slideshow]
         Discussant: Sergio Schmukler, World Bank. [slideshow]

16:00 - 18:00 Session on "Exchange rates"
Chairman: Suman Bery, NCAER

     Exchange rate pass-through, [paper] [slideshow]
     Rudrani Bhattacharya, NIPFP
         Discussant: Mandira Sarma, ICRIER

     Choice of exchange rate regime, [paper] [slideshow]
     Atish Ghosh, IMF
         Discussant: Ila Patnaik, NIPFP [slideshow]

19:00-21:00 Cocktails followed by dinner.

28 March 2008

9:30 - 10:00 Coffee and snacks
10:00 - 13:30 Session on "Internationalisation of firms"
Chairman: Sindhushree Khullar, Ministry of Finance

     Outbound FDI from India, [slideshow]
     Jaya Prakash Pradhan, ISID, New Delhi

     Is emerging market money smart?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Anusha Chari, University of Michigan
         Discussant: Nirvikar Singh, UC Santa Cruz [comments]

     Graduating to globalisation, [paper] [slideshow]
     Dilek Demirbas, Newcastle Business School.
         Discussant: Shubhashis Gangopadhyay, Ministry of Finance

     What makes home bias abate?, [paper] [slideshow]
     Ajay Shah, NIPFP
         Discussant: Anusha Chari, University of Michigan. [slideshow]

13:30-14:30 Lunch
14:30 - 17:30 Session on "Tales from the trenches: What practitioners see"
Chairman: K. P. Krishnan, Ministry of Finance

     Foreign capital for SMEs, [slideshow]
     Vipul Dalal, Elara Capital

     Implications of capital controls for domestic capital markets, [slideshow]
     Jayesh Mehta, DSP Merill Lynch

     Internationalisation of trading,
     Ravi Narain, National Stock Exchange

19:00-21:00 Cocktails followed by dinner. This is at the poolside.



1st Research meeting, 4-5 December 2007

Photographs from the meeting. If you click on any of the images, you get the fullres underlying file.

4 December 2007

Venue: NIPFP, except for dinner.

10:00-10:45 Inaugural session
     Welcome address, M. Govinda Rao, NIPFP.
     Inaugural address, C. Rangarajan, Chairman, EAC to the Prime Minister
     Introductory remarks, Sindhushree Khullar, Ministry of Finance.
10:45-11:00 Coffee
11:00-13:15 Session on "Exchange rate regimes and capital controls"
Chairman: Percy Mistry, Oxford International Group

     Structural change and exchange rate regimes, [paper], [slideshow],
     Achim Zeileis, Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration
         Discussant: Ramkishen Rajan, George Mason University, [slideshow]

     Exchange rate regimes and unhedged currency exposure, [paper], [slideshow]
     Ila Patnaik, NIPFP
         Discussant: Barry Eichengreen, UC Berkeley, [slideshow]

     De facto convertibility, [paper], [slideshow]
     Gurnain Pasricha, UC Santa Cruz
         Discussant: Sergio Schmukler, World Bank, [slideshow]
13:15-14:15 Lunch
14:15-15:45 Session on "Internationalisation of shareholding"
Chairman: K. P. Krishnan, Ministry of Finance

     Which firms from which countries go global?, [paper], [slideshow]
     Sergio Schmukler, World Bank
         Discussant: Rajesh Chakrabarti, ISB, [slideshow]

     Foreign ownership of Indian firms, [paper], [slideshow]
     Ajay Shah, NIPFP
         Discussant: Jayanth Varma, IIM, Ahmedabad

16:00-17:30 Session on "Monetary policy in China and India"
Chairman: R. C. Srinivasan, Ministry of Finance

     Exchange rate pass-through in India, [paper], [slideshow]
     Ramkishen Rajan, George Mason University
         Discussant: Rudrani Bhattacharya, NIPFP

     The Chinese macroeconomic policy framework, [paper], [slideshow]
     Eswar Prasad, Cornell University
         Discussant: Ila Patnaik, NIPFP [slideshow]

19:30-20:30 Distinguished speaker: Barry Eichengreen, U. California, Berkeley
Chairman: Montek Ahluwalia, Planning Commission.
"The cautious case for capital flows", [paper],
followed by dinner. Venue: Assocham Hall which is 47, Prithviraj Road.

5 December 2007

Venue: NIPFP.

9:30-10:00Coffee
10:00-13:00 Session on "Capital controls and capital flows"
Chairman: Suman Bery, NCAER

    Private equity, Sanjeev Sanyal, Deutsche Bank, [slideshow]
    Participatory notes, Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, ABN Amro, [slideshow]
    Participatory notes / ODIs, Jayanth Varma, IIM, Ahmedabad, [slideshow]
    The NDF market, Rajesh Chakrabarti, ISB, [slideshow], [note]
    Capital controls: a free lunch?, Josh Felman, IMF [slideshow]
    Capital flows in Asia, Rob Subbaraman, Lehman Brothers, [slideshow]
13:00-14:00 Lunch


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