Projects
Past projects
- 2024
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- 2020
- 2019
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- 2017
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- 2015
- 2014
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- 1990
Fiscal Policy, Intergovernmental transfers and Gender Equity : A study of Indian States
- Start date दिसम्बर, 2017
- Completion date दिसम्बर, 2019
- Sponsor Janet Stotsky, IMF, Washington DC
- Project leader Lekha Chakraborty
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To empirically analyse the subnational political economy processes and linkages of fiscal transfers and gender equity in India, across all States.
Study on Improving Research and Policies on Health and Its Financing
- Start date दिसम्बर, 2015
- Completion date दिसम्बर, 2019
- Sponsor Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
- Project leader Ajay Shah, Ila Patnaik
- Consultants/Other authors Shubho Roy, Shefali Malhotra, Harleen Kaur, Rachna Sharma, Sanhita Sapatnekar, Mahima Gupta, Manpreet Singh, Sameer Pethe, Supriya Krishnan, Madhur Mehta, Siddhartha Srivastava, Moumita Das
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The problems characterizing the Indian health sector are complex. On one hand, there are issues relating to access and quality of health services and, on the other, those relating to the state of public health expenditure, as well as the design and implementation of the programmes accounting for this expenditure. Information gaps in India's health sector stem from not only inadequate or incomplete data but also the absence of an integrated approach when viewing the current state of health expenditure. The BMGF is funding NIPFP to develop the tools needed to gain a better understanding of the state of health and its financing in India. The project has been designed to bridge the aforementioned information gaps by creating a comprehensive dataset on public health finance. The overall objective is to provide reliable and comprehensive data so that policy decisions are better informed, through research and analysis on health expenditure as well as assistance in designing and monitoring the effectiveness of health-related programmes (Dec 2015–Dec 2019).
Medium Term Fiscal Plan for Sikkim: 2019-2020
- Completion date दिसम्बर, 2019
- Sponsor Government of Sikkim
- Project leader Pratap Ranjan Jena
Sectoral Spending Effectiveness of Gender Budgeting on Gender Equality and Fiscal Space in Education and Health: A study of Asia Pacific region
- Start date सितम्बर., 2017
- Completion date दिसम्बर, 2019
- Sponsor Janet Stotsky, IMF, Washington DC
- Project leader Lekha Chakraborty
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To empirically analyse the impact of fiscal policy practises – with particular reference to the processes and analytical frameworks of gender budgeting – on ‘equally distributed equivalent’ variables of gender in health and education sectors within the political economy framework, in Asia Pacific countries.
Study Critical Issues in Special Areas in India
- Start date अप्रैल, 2018
- Completion date दिसम्बर, 2019
- Sponsor The Indian Council for Social Science Research (ICSSR)
- Project leader Ila Patnaik
- Consultants/Other authors Ashim Kapoor, Rachna Sharma, Sameer Pethe, Shefali Malhotra, Chirag Anand
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As part of this project, the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy (NIPFP) is assisting ICSSR to assemble documents towards creating a digital library related to Critical Issues in Special Areas. The digital library would be designed and maintained by NIPFP. The library will include primary materials such as constituent assembly debates, legal instruments, policy documents, UN documents and contracts.
A Comparative Study of the Tax–GSDP Ratio of Tripura and Other North-Eastern States for the Government of Tripura
- Completion date नवम्बर., 2019
- Sponsor Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
- Project leader Sacchidananda Mukherjee
- Other faculty Satadru Sikdar
- Consultants/Other authors Shivani Badola, Vibha Kumari
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The study focuses on a comparison of aggregate Own Tax Revenue (OTR) as well as major head-wise tax collection of Tripura vis-à-vis other North-Eastern states. The analysis of this study is based on the Finance Account Database. The study highlights the areas where Tripura needs to focus to mobilize additional tax revenues.
Proposal for Knowledge Partnership on Propelling Digital Communications in India: The Role of FDI
- Start date सितम्बर., 2019
- Completion date अक्टूबर, 2019
- Sponsor Department of Telecommunications
- Project leader Ajay Shah, Ila Patnaik
- Consultants/Other authors Smriti Parsheera, Rishab Bailey, Faiza Rahman, Varun Sen Bhai
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This assignment required us to:1. Prepare the report on ‘Propelling Digital Communications in India: The Role of FDI’2. Provide inputs on the session design, topics and potential speakers for the seminar3. Provide inputs for the opening, keynote and ministerial addresses
Organization Design and Internal Processes for Establishing an Effective National Council for Vocational Education and Training (NCVET)
- Start date फ़रवरी., 2019
- Completion date अग., 2019
- Sponsor Omidyar Network Services
- Project leader Ajay Shah, Ila Patnaik
- Consultants/Other authors Pratik Datta, Sarang Mohair, Sudipto Banerjee, Kartik Suresh, Medha Raju
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The study is aimed at improving the quality of skill development programmes throughout India by providing assistance to the NCVET (established by merging two regulatory bodies, NCVT and NSDA). It will produce a design for NCVET, identify the priority areas, and list the important functions and processes to be performed by the NCVET. The study will also identify the important regulatory instruments, contracts and guidelines that the NCVET will be required to issue and enforce soon after its establishment. NIPFP will engage with the Ministry of Skill Development and Entrepreneurship and other stakeholders to assist in the development of an implementation plan for the establishment of the NCVET and shall organize consultations and meetings in this regard (Feb 2019–Aug 2019).
Approaches to Public Financing of Health in India: The Way Ahead
- Start date अग., 2017
- Completion date अग., 2019
- Sponsor Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
- Project leader Mita Choudhury
Fiscal Implications of the Introduction of the Goods and Services Tax in India (July 2019)
- Completion date जुलाई, 2019
- Sponsor The Fifteenth Finance Commission (Through BMGF)
- Project leader R. Kavita Rao
- Other faculty Sacchidananda Mukherjee
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The introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) is a major reform in the tax system of the country. It has subsumed many of the prevailing taxes. This study analyses the performance of GST revenues at both levels of government.
Agreement to Provide Expert Assistance in the Performance Audit of the Hospital Management System in Uttar Pradesh
- Start date मई, 2018
- Completion date जुलाई, 2019
- Sponsor Comptroller and Auditor General of India (CAG)
- Project leader Ajay Shah, Ila Patnaik
- Other faculty Amey Sapre
- Consultants/Other authors Shubho Roy, Harleen Kaur, Mahima Gupta, Manpreet Singh, Pramod Sinha, Rachna Sharma, Sameer Pethe, Shefali Malhotra, Supriya Krishnan
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NIPFP is the external expert agency for providing consultation and knowledge support to CAG for conducting performance audit on hospital management, Medical Health & Family Welfare Department, and Medical Education and Training Department of the Government of Uttar Pradesh. NIPFP’s engagement with CAG for the purpose of consulting and support during the audit was to provide strategic objective development, developing the audit plan, audit execution and analysis (May 2018–July 2019).
Measuring Tax Effort and Efficiency for Indian States
- Start date जून, 2017
- Completion date जून, 2019
- Sponsor Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
- Project leader A. Sri Hari Nayudu
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To measure tax effort and efficiency and predict the potential tax revenues for Indian states.
The Review of Compliance of the Government of Sikkim to the State FRBM Act for the year 2017-18
- Start date दिसम्बर, 2020
- Completion date जून, 2019
- Sponsor Government of Sikkim
- Project leader Pratap Ranjan Jena
- Other faculty Satadru Sikdar
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The review report assessed the fiscal stance of the State Government and implementation of the provisions of the FRBM Act as per the recommendations of the Union Finance Commission. The report prepared by the Institute was placed in the state legislature and formed an important element of the established accountability structure. Review of compliance of FRBM Act of a state government provides an institutional mechanism for an independent fiscal review as recommended by the Thirteenth Finance Commission. While Finance Commissions suggested forming fiscal councils, the FRBM Act of Sikkim provides for an independent review of its FRBM Act.
Implementation of TRAI–NIPFP Research Programme
- Start date जून, 2016
- Completion date मई, 2019
- Sponsor Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI)
- Project leader Ajay Shah
- Consultants/Other authors Smriti Parsheera, Mayank Mishra, Faiza Rahman, Sudipto Banerjee, Devendra Damle, Rishab Bailey, Sarang Moharir, Ashim Kapoor, Rachna Sharma, Sudipto Banerjee, Vishal Trehan, Srishti Sharma
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NIPFP has entered into a three-year MoU with TRAI to provide analytical and policy research in the areas of regulatory governance and economic analysis of the telecommunications broadcasting sectors (June 2016–May 2019).
Institutional Assessment and Gap analysis of Tribal Research and Development Institute (TRDI), Bhopal
- Start date सितम्बर., 2017
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Tribal Research and Development Institute (TRDI), Bhopal, under Government of Madhya Pradesh
- Project leader Pinaki Chakraborty and Shruti Tripathi
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Tribal Research and Development Institute, Madhya Pradesh have initiated a partnership with UNICEF, Bhopal; the objective of the partnership is to enhance the capacity of the tribal research institute, to conduct research and evaluation to generate evidences for policy recommendations, especially for the tribal. Within the 43rd Annual Report 2018-19 partnership framework, one of the key activities is to conduct Institutional Assessment and Gap Analysis of Tribal Research and Development Institute (TRDI) to gain better insights of the internal competitive strengths and weaknesses of TRDI in conducting research, evaluation and studies inclusive of monitoring/Evaluation. NIPFP has conducted the Institutional Assessment and Gap Analysis of TRDI through a contract with the purpose to identify strengths, weaknesses, threats and opportunities of Institute in order to develop plans for their futuredevelopment and given recommendations based on the assessments.
Forecasting India’s Economic Growth: A Time-Varying Parameter Regression Approach
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor NIPFP
- Project leader Sudipto Mundle
- Consultants/Other authors Parma Chakravartti (Ambedkar University), Richa Jain
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Forecasting GDP growth is essential for effective and timely implementation of macroeconomic policies. This paper uses a Principal Component augmented Time Varying Parameter Regression (TVPR) approach to forecast real aggregate and sectoral growth rates for India. We estimated the model using a mix of fiscal, monetary, trade and production side-specific variables. To assess the importance of different growth drivers, three variants of the model are used. In ‘Demand-side’ model, the set of variables exclude production-specific indicators, while in the ‘Supply-side’ model, information is extracted only from the latter set. The ‘Combined’ model consists of both sets of variables. We find that TVPR model consistently outperforms constant parameter factor-augmented regression model and Dynamic Factor Model in terms of forecasting performance for all the three specifications. Based on the TVPR model, we find that demand side variant minimises the error forecast for total GDP and the industrial sector GDP, while the supply side variant minimises the error forecast for services sector GDP. We also find that forecast error is minimised using both the supply side variant and the combinedvariant for agriculture sector GDP.
Building Infrastructure to promote inclusive growth
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Asian Development Bank
- Project leader Abhijit Sen Gupta (ADB)
- Other faculty Satadru Sikdar
- Consultants/Other authors Richa Jain
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In this study, we investigated the role played by infrastructure development in improving standard of living in India. We explored the role of infrastructure generation in four sectors, namely, Electricity, Road transport, Education and Health on income growth and poverty reduction in a panel of 18 major states in India over the period 2004-05 to 2015-16. Our main findings were that infrastructure development in all the sectors, except for health sector, significantly contributes to economic growth. On the other hand, infrastructure development in all sectors except for road transport was found to reduce the share of population below the poverty line. Our findings indicated that improved physical and quality of health infrastructure has significant leveleffect but insignificant growth effect via labour productivity channel on income and consumption in Indian states.
Evaluation of Governance Parameters of Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana – Gramin (PMAYG)
- Start date सितम्बर., 2017
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Ministry of Rural Development, Government of India
- Project leader N.R. Bhanumurthy
- Other faculty H.K. Amaranth, Bhabesh Hazarika
- Consultants/Other authors Krishna Sharma, Kanika Gupta, Tanvi Bramhe
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In this project, we looked at various issues related to Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana (Gramin), the flagship programme of the government, in terms of the design, implementation and other governance-related issues. Further, the project also looked at the extent to which the scheme has generated employment opportunities for both skilled and unskilled labourers.
Research and advisory services for Restructuring and Strengthening of National Council for Vocational Training (NCVT)
- Start date मई, 2017
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Ministry of Skill Development & Entrepreneurship (MSDE)
- Project leader Ajay Shah
- Consultants/Other authors Shubho Roy, Ashish Aggarwal, Shefali Malhotra, Sudipto Banerjee
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To help the ministry make decisions about restructuring NCVT as a regulator. This includes decisions and functions of NCVT as well as the governance and processes at NCVT.
State Revenue Forecast till 2022
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
- Project leader R. Kavita Rao, Sacchidananda Mukherjee, Suranjali Tandon and Hari Nayudu
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Here we have analysed revenues for four states. Based on the estimated efficiency, regression and trend analysis are used to predict each tax and non-tax revenues. VAT Collection, State Excise, Stamp Duty and Registration Fee, State and Transport taxes are individually analysed with the help of stochastic frontier analysis and predicted their revenues till 2022. Non-tax revenues and other minor taxes excludes above taxes are analysed with the help regression and trend analysis.Finally, the aggregate of total state revenues are arrived at by summing up the all the predicted values of different tax and non-tax revenues. Here, we present four scenarios.
Resource Sharing between Centre and states: Principals and Trends
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Fifteenth Finance Commission
- Project leader Pinaki Chakraborty
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Although the Constitution had envisioned India as a quasi-federal country, the first forty years of independence witnessed significant political homogeneity at the centre and the states resulting in a concentration of power at the centre. The subsequent decades, however, saw increasing centrifugal tendencies with the emergence of greater political and economic competition at the state level. The latter was in a way a beneficial by-product of the forces of liberalization that had come into sway in the Indian economy in the late eighties and early nineties. The economic reforms also drove changes in the approach of central and state governments towards revenue policy, which in turn had an influence on quantum and nature of centre-state transfers. This study examined the trends in resource sharing and its principles from the Centre to the States. This study was undertaken at the request of the 15th Finance Commission.
A Study of Intergovernmental Fiscal Transfers in India
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor IDRC
- Project leader Pinaki Chakraborty, Lekha Chakraborty, Manish Gupta, Amandeep Kaur
- Consultants/Other authors Shatakshi Garg, Azaruddin, Ruzel Shresta
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In India, recent policy changes in the fiscal transfer system have changed the relationship between the Union and State governments. The objective of this study was to analyse the impact of these changes on state level fiscal behavior and public service delivery.
Private Hospitals in Health Insurance Network in India: A Reflection for Implementation of Ayushman Bharat
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
- Project leader Mita Choudhury
- Other faculty Pritam Datta
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Private hospitals are expected to play a key role in the implementation of government sponsored health insurance schemes in India. This paper examines the availability and spread of private hospitals in the country to provide insights on the potential access to insured health services in GSHI schemes.
Reform of Government School System: Towards Greater Trust
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor Azim Premji University Research Grant, 2016
- Project leader Sukanya Bose
- Consultants/Other authors Priyanta Ghosh, Arvind Sardana (Eklavya, Madhya Pradesh)
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The project addresses the various public finance issues that affect the substantive implementation and guarantee of the Right to Education in India. Carefully working its way through conceptual frameworks and empirics using unit level data, this research tries to put across estimates of normative resource requirements for the implementation of Right to Education, for every Indian state.
Financial globalization and economic growth in South Asia: an empirical investigation
- Completion date मार्च, 2019
- Sponsor ICSSR
- Project leader N. R. Bhanumurthy
- Other faculty Dinesh Kumar Nayak
- Consultants/Other authors Lokendra Kumawat (Ramjas College)
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The study tried to investigate the impact of financial globalisation on economic growth in South Asia. In addition to overall effect on economic growth, it also tried to identify the channel(s) through which the financial globalisation affects growth. For this purpose, it looked at both direct (e.g., reallocation of capital) as well as indirect channels (e.g., promoting financial development, changes in government policies, etc.). The results for the entire region suggest that the impact of financial globalisation on growth is very limited while there was strong evidence on the opposite direction. That is it is the domestic growth that was causing financial globalisation. The 43rd Annual Report 2018-19 study also undertaken individual country level analysis. While the individual country level results differ significantly, these differences are largely due to differences in level of governance in these countries.