An autonomous research institute under the Ministry of Finance

 

Understanding the Anatomy of India's High Fiscal Deficit

02/02/2021

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Extraordinary times require extraordinary policy responses. Against the backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty in the time of the COVID-19 pandemic, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman has presented a “significant” fiscal deficit number – which went upto 9.5% in FY21 – from a position of strength. Simultaneously, commencing a fiscal consolidation path …

Ecological Fiscal Transfers after Covid19

25/01/2021

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(Co-authored with Amandeep Kaur and Divy Rangan)
 
Climate change commitments require long term fiscal policy instruments, such as climate responsive budgeting and ecological fiscal transfers . In India we have Climate Action Plans at national and subnational government levels. However, a roadmap towards comprehensive climate responsive …

A Shadow Pandemic: Growing VAW is one of the greatest human rights violations

25/01/2021

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Violence against women (VAW) is now acknowledged as a global problem with substantial macroeconomic costs. This is a “shadow pandemic”. Prior to the global contagion of Covid-19, the global cost of VAW had been estimated at approximately $1.5 trillion.
 
Growing VAW is one of the greatest …

Why Output Gap is controversial

28/12/2020

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(Co-authored with Amandeep Kaur)

 

The macroeconomic uncertainty in times of COVID-19 pandemic is hard to measure. Economists and policymakers use the variable “output gap” to capture the “slack”. It is a deviation between potential output and actual output, which is a standard representation of a “cycle”. …

Reviving the Indian Economy

12/11/2020

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The Finance Minister Smt Nirmala Sitharaman had said that the demand for consumer goods has increased considerably during the festival months. October-to-March is the festival season in India. Based on the “Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI)”, the Finance Minister said that the “economic activity had picked up in …